0x1e25017914b2e29cae977f455692b2b7fe4f5ed2
- Realised P&L
- $4.45
- Volume
- $211.52
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $56.15
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration93.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration93.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.190 | 1.000 | $52.63 | +$42.63 |
| Claudio Lotito sells Lazio in 2026? · Yes | 0.910 | 0.320 | $3.52 | −$6.48 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.54at 0.570Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-24?
- +$0.56at 0.900Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?
- +$-9.95at 0.170Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-13?
- +$-9.95at 0.310Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$-9.95at 0.450US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-10 07:37 | Claudio Lotito sells Lazio in 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $10.00 |
| 05-23 11:14 | Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-24? | BUY | 0.5699999966 | $10.00 |
| 05-20 06:40 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.189999988 | $10.00 |
| 05-13 14:50 | Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-13? | BUY | 0.169999988 | $9.95 |
| 04-18 14:06 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April? | BUY | 0.899999892 | $4.96 |
| 04-18 14:03 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499999774 | $9.95 |
| 04-18 14:00 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY | 0.3099999804 | $9.95 |
| 04-18 13:59 | Will Capital One (COF) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.8158999882 | $9.77 |