PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

ezel-de

0x1e0dcfb541ef1d0ccd3f928749e746813b17bd03

Realised P&L
$1.0k
Volume
$130.8k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$133.84

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration51.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration96.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? · Yes0.1500.085$129.28$99.70
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? · Yes0.0350.025$4.54$1.70
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$1.0k
Will SpaceX IPO on June 12, 2026? · No0.0740.000$0.00$253.47
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18? · No0.0550.000$0.00$210.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-20 19:09Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?BUY0.64$1.2k
06-10 19:28Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.01$1.0k
06-07 14:45Will SpaceX IPO on June 12, 2026?BUY0.0444807526$54.38
06-04 21:01Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? BUY0.2$13.20
06-04 20:57Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?SELL0.0847185629$5.66
06-04 20:53Will SpaceX IPO on June 12, 2026?BUY0.0894767638$119.58
05-19 15:51Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?BUY0.86$28.38
05-19 15:50Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?BUY0.86$191.78
05-19 15:49Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?BUY0.86$1.5k
05-18 18:36Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?SELL0.49$458.42
05-18 18:34Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?SELL0.1754901961$8.95
05-18 18:33Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?SELL0.19$71.63
05-13 22:12Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?SELL0.87$20.91
05-13 22:05Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.43$903.00
05-13 16:38MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?BUY0.027$28.00