0x1dd0f54bb4f26785e4c8a43228ac9ea178df5d20
- Realised P&L
- $-346.46
- Volume
- $584.7k
- Markets traded
- 145
- Open portfolio
- $5.12
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded145
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration65.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$71.54at 0.001Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?
- +$7.49at 0.500Will Giannis Antetokounmpo win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
- +$4.99at 0.500Will Kawhi Leonard win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
- +$2.50at 0.500Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$2.50at 0.500Will Paolo Banchero win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-20 16:53 | Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower? | SELL | 0.023 | $0.31 |
| 03-20 16:53 | Will there be fewer than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | SELL | 0.021 | $0.41 |
| 03-20 16:53 | Will Kawhi Leonard win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 03-20 16:53 | Will Giannis Antetokounmpo win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 03-20 16:28 | Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? | SELL | 0.014 | $0.77 |
| 03-08 01:50 | Will Donte Johnson win by KO or TKO? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.23 |
| 03-07 22:00 | Will Pelle Dragsted be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.25 |
| 03-07 21:58 | Will Athletic Club win on 2026-03-08? | BUY | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 03-07 21:08 | Will Pelle Dragsted be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.29 |
| 03-07 20:56 | De'Anthony Melton: Assists O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 03-07 20:48 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on March 8? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 03-07 19:48 | De'Anthony Melton: Assists O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.002 | $0.07 |
| 03-07 19:42 | De'Anthony Melton: Assists O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.001 | $0.10 |
| 03-07 19:00 | Will Pelle Dragsted be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.36 |
| 03-07 18:42 | Will England win? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.31 |