PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

12edhuwadf

0x1db044f4c39182852f5e0300751036fe02458c60

Realised P&L
$35.47
Volume
$121.6k
Markets traded
30
Open portfolio
$1.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded30
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample24 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.9971.000$1.0k+$3.02
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 35°C on July 1? · No0.9961.000$6.00+$0.02
Will BULK launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.7100.420$3.78$2.61
Wimbledon ATP: Jaume Munar vs Francisco Cerundolo · Francisco Cerundolo0.7600.000$0.00$8.36
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in May? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$4.59
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? · Yes0.0580.000$0.00$1.45

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-30 09:19Wimbledon ATP: Jaume Munar vs Francisco CerundoloBUY0.76$8.36
06-30 09:16Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 35°C on July 1?BUY0.996$5.98
06-30 09:15GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?SELL0.896$4.86
06-10 02:25GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?BUY0.978$5.30
06-10 02:22Will BULK launch a token by June 30, 2027?BUY0.71$6.38
05-25 09:30Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.67$11.39
05-25 09:29Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in May?BUY0.27$1.84
03-15 21:31Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?BUY0.995$5.74
03-15 21:30Will The Secret Agent win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.997$5.75
03-15 21:28Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.997$1.0k
03-15 21:27Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.989$632.96
03-15 21:27Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?SELL0.976$5.42
03-15 21:26Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?SELL0.896$5.82
03-15 21:25Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?SELL0.963$6.36
03-07 23:10Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.991$634.24