0x1d6B068a81c8cEa3f325129ef452ffdd22Fdea44-1773151343221
0x1d6b068a81c8cea3f325129ef452ffdd22fdea44
- Realised P&L
- $9.08
- Volume
- $21.7k
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $31.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Shein's closing IPO market cap be at least 250B HKD? · No | 0.570 | 0.615 | $10.79 | +$0.79 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.840 | 0.865 | $10.30 | +$0.30 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.495 | $9.34 | −$0.66 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.555 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.237 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.575 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will France vs. Spain end in a draw? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw? · Yes | 0.205 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? · Yes | 0.933 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| NBA Summer League: Portland Trail Blazers vs. Orlando Magic · Portland Trail Blazers | 0.770 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.46at 0.520Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
- +$17.61at 0.460Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?
- +$15.80at 0.559Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?
- +$14.39at 0.410Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on April 13?
- +$13.26at 0.430Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 07:11 | Los Cabos Open: Cameron Norrie vs James Duckworth | SELL | 0.999 | $22.45 |
| 07-30 06:13 | Will Shein's closing IPO market cap be at least 250B HKD? | BUY | 0.5697781762 | $10.00 |
| 07-30 06:11 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.932999997 | $10.00 |
| 07-30 06:10 | Los Cabos Open: Cameron Norrie vs James Duckworth | BUY | 0.8799999965 | $10.00 |
| 07-30 06:10 | Los Cabos Open: Cameron Norrie vs James Duckworth | BUY | 0.9 | $10.00 |
| 07-18 07:29 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.54 | $5.40 |
| 07-16 23:22 | New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies | BUY | 0.7889999766 | $5.00 |
| 07-15 23:44 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5789999508 | $2.00 |
| 07-15 23:44 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5799999954 | $5.00 |
| 07-15 23:41 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.999 | $6.35 |
| 07-14 12:49 | Bunschoten: Mika Brunold vs Ryan Nijboer | BUY | 0.75 | $5.00 |
| 07-14 12:48 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5299999899 | $10.00 |
| 07-14 11:57 | Will France vs. Spain end in a draw? | BUY | 0.299999982 | $10.00 |
| 07-14 11:57 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.4074999929 | $20.00 |
| 07-14 11:55 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.7849999914 | $5.00 |