123mis
0x1d323b5465020801f7dcb28aae695e1726209f50
- Realised P&L
- $641.38
- Volume
- $321.5k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $3.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration95.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.146 | 0.075 | $3.4k | −$3.2k |
| Will Marcelo Brigadeiro win the Governor of Santa Catarina election? · Yes | 0.092 | 0.052 | $101.34 | −$76.41 |
| Will Jorginho Mello win the Governor of Santa Catarina election? · No | 0.140 | 0.085 | $34.01 | −$22.01 |
| Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? · No | 0.090 | 0.065 | $9.10 | −$3.50 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.013 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$74.19 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · No | 0.023 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$32.20 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 16? · No | 0.011 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-180.27at 0.110Will Kim Kataguiri win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-26 16:39 | Will Jorginho Mello win the Governor of Santa Catarina election? | BUY | 0.14 | $56.02 |
| 06-25 12:37 | Will Marcelo Brigadeiro win the Governor of Santa Catarina election? | BUY | 0.036 | $0.14 |
| 06-22 20:06 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.137 | $102.30 |
| 06-22 18:37 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1368369914 | $93.02 |
| 06-22 18:27 | Will Marcelo Brigadeiro win the Governor of Santa Catarina election? | BUY | 0.1 | $110.88 |
| 06-20 19:30 | Will Kim Kataguiri win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.0529532642 | $166.92 |
| 06-19 12:57 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.14278316 | $209.34 |
| 06-19 12:46 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.144994271 | $202.47 |
| 06-17 19:37 | Will Kim Kataguiri win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.0977567175 | $182.24 |
| 06-16 20:41 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.156 | $94.85 |
| 06-16 20:22 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.20 |
| 06-16 20:19 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1515841439 | $441.06 |
| 06-16 17:08 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1441505922 | $210.43 |
| 06-16 17:00 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1375989984 | $104.41 |
| 06-15 15:02 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.02 | $14.19 |