PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

123mis

0x1d323b5465020801f7dcb28aae695e1726209f50

Realised P&L
$641.38
Volume
$321.5k
Markets traded
8
Open portfolio
$3.5k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded8
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration95.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.1460.075$3.4k$3.2k
Will Marcelo Brigadeiro win the Governor of Santa Catarina election? · Yes0.0920.052$101.34$76.41
Will Jorginho Mello win the Governor of Santa Catarina election? · No0.1400.085$34.01$22.01
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? · No0.0900.065$9.10$3.50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.0130.000$0.00$74.19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · No0.0230.000$0.00$32.20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 16? · No0.0110.000$0.00$11.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-26 16:39Will Jorginho Mello win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?BUY0.14$56.02
06-25 12:37Will Marcelo Brigadeiro win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?BUY0.036$0.14
06-22 20:06Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.137$102.30
06-22 18:37Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.1368369914$93.02
06-22 18:27Will Marcelo Brigadeiro win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?BUY0.1$110.88
06-20 19:30Will Kim Kataguiri win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?SELL0.0529532642$166.92
06-19 12:57Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.14278316$209.34
06-19 12:46Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.144994271$202.47
06-17 19:37Will Kim Kataguiri win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?BUY0.0977567175$182.24
06-16 20:41Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.156$94.85
06-16 20:22Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.15$1.20
06-16 20:19Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.1515841439$441.06
06-16 17:08Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.1441505922$210.43
06-16 17:00Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.1375989984$104.41
06-15 15:02US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?BUY0.02$14.19