RolyPoliOli
0x1cf997e5fb68a7ea41e443ea15b3ea3c93a8755d
- Realised P&L
- $-6.4k
- Volume
- $543.1k
- Markets traded
- 2,171
- Open portfolio
- $20.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,171
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration9.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.522Bitcoin Up or Down on August 16?
- +$1.2kat 0.519Bitcoin Up or Down on January 29?
- +$1.2kat 0.510Bitcoin Up or Down on July 30?
- +$1.2kat 0.510Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3?
- +$821.08at 0.523Bitcoin Up or Down on August 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 16:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.4599999968 | $20.00 |
| 08-03 15:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.5099999911 | $20.00 |
| 08-02 22:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET | BUY | 0.4699999887 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 22:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5299999899 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 22:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4599999595 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 18:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET | BUY | 0.1299999789 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 16:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3? | BUY | 0.5220851833 | $20.00 |
| 08-01 19:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2? | BUY | 0.2599999935 | $20.00 |
| 07-29 00:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 29? | BUY | 0.4599999901 | $13.00 |
| 07-27 16:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 28? | BUY | 0.48 | $6.00 |
| 07-27 01:36 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET | BUY | 0.9541320875 | $118.00 |
| 07-26 23:32 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET | BUY | 0.9108910884 | $108.00 |
| 07-24 13:06 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 24, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET | BUY | 0.9777384901 | $100.00 |
| 07-23 15:22 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET | BUY | 0.9388433447 | $100.00 |
| 07-23 15:07 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $95.00 |