shubutao
0x1c8baf18d493460eacbe3cf93f30f564307528bd
- Realised P&L
- $-17.27
- Volume
- $80.6k
- Markets traded
- 69
- Open portfolio
- $132.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded69
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$50.25at 0.060Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on March 23?
- +$6.02at 0.978Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 30?
- +$4.43at 0.984Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 December 1-7?
- +$4.31at 0.984Will the price of Solana be above $150 on December 8?
- +$4.25at 0.984Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on November 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-03 03:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 3? | BUY | 0.981 | $121.40 |
| 06-02 02:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2? | BUY | 0.1299999676 | $3.09 |
| 05-19 16:00 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on May 20? | BUY | 0.016 | $2.87 |
| 05-17 22:07 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 18? | BUY | 0.0070000001 | $1.58 |
| 05-16 22:36 | Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 17? | BUY | 0.0140203606 | $1.26 |
| 05-11 03:42 | Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 11? | BUY | 0.016 | $2.61 |
| 05-08 03:01 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 8? | BUY | 0.029 | $2.58 |
| 04-27 06:34 | Dogecoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.015 | $2.69 |
| 04-17 23:20 | Will the price of Solana be above $100 on April 18? | BUY | 0.0110076411 | $1.29 |
| 03-27 14:54 | XRP Up or Down on March 27? | BUY | 0.015 | $1.05 |
| 03-23 08:57 | Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on March 23? | BUY | 0.06 | $3.20 |
| 03-21 13:43 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 21? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.68 |
| 03-12 22:21 | Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on March 13? | BUY | 0.0902100609 | $2.62 |
| 03-12 19:05 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on March 13? | BUY | 0.06 | $2.68 |
| 03-12 16:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 13? | BUY | 0.1099999567 | $2.05 |