Mario1909
0x1c81674cc4d1baf3c6ee60089ac54456a225a2de
- Realised P&L
- $56.61
- Volume
- $24.6k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $4.55
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)41.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Karolina Wydra – “Pluribus” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series? · Yes | 0.098 | 0.089 | $4.55 | −$0.45 |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| US bank failure by July 31? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03? · Yes | 0.043 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco? · No | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? · Yes | 0.256 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$67.00 |
| Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 20? · No | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance · Cabo Verde | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| France to score first vs. Spain? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$167.39at 0.230Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$35.29at 0.586Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$33.21at 0.440Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
- +$10.83at 0.480Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?
- +$5.44at 0.647Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-20 04:52 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 20? | BUY | 0.1899999726 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 20:30 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5849999906 | $25.00 |
| 07-19 18:51 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5874999971 | $25.00 |
| 07-14 20:20 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.0374999965 | $10.00 |
| 07-14 20:20 | France to score first vs. Spain? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 07-14 06:35 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 14? | SELL | 0.13 | $5.68 |
| 07-14 06:09 | Will Karolina Wydra – “Pluribus” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series? | BUY | 0.0983532689 | $5.00 |
| 07-14 05:55 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15? | BUY | 0.4799999827 | $10.00 |
| 07-14 05:54 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 14? | BUY | 0.2287896894 | $10.00 |
| 07-12 02:53 | Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | SELL | 0.6775 | $49.81 |
| 07-12 02:51 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11? | SELL | 0.035 | $2.98 |
| 07-12 02:50 | Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | BUY | 0.6799999984 | $50.00 |
| 07-12 02:15 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.0374999648 | $1.00 |
| 07-12 01:09 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.1699999871 | $10.00 |
| 07-11 23:09 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.409999983 | $7.00 |