0x1c6fe017f9eac8eb3d9e894857d27eddd982b8df
- Realised P&L
- $127.70
- Volume
- $7.8k
- Markets traded
- 114
- Open portfolio
- $67.71
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded114
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 NL East title? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.850 | $13.93 | +$3.93 |
| Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.515 | $11.44 | +$1.44 |
| Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 National League Championship Series? · Yes | 0.175 | 0.196 | $11.17 | +$1.17 |
| Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? · Yes | 0.089 | 0.090 | $10.17 | +$0.17 |
| Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.105 | $8.08 | −$1.92 |
| Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.345 | $7.04 | −$2.96 |
| Will the Seattle Mariners clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.405 | $5.87 | −$4.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$45.97at 0.620Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score
- +$35.73at 0.735Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev
- +$33.33at 0.600Will Belgium reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$33.33at 0.600Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
- +$33.33at 0.750Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 02:18 | Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | SELL | 0.151 | $11.61 |
| 07-29 02:18 | Will Boston Red Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | SELL | 0.090382385 | $8.29 |
| 07-29 02:16 | Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 National League Championship Series? | SELL | 0.11 | $9.17 |
| 07-24 14:37 | Will the Seattle Mariners clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? | BUY | 0.6899999869 | $10.00 |
| 07-22 10:07 | Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 NL East title? | BUY | 0.6099999994 | $10.00 |
| 07-22 10:01 | Will Boston Red Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | BUY | 0.1089999906 | $10.00 |
| 07-22 09:53 | Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | BUY | 0.1299999902 | $10.00 |
| 07-22 09:51 | Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 National League Championship Series? | BUY | 0.1199999899 | $10.00 |
| 07-22 09:39 | Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series? | BUY | 0.4499999797 | $10.00 |
| 07-22 09:38 | Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 National League Championship Series? | BUY | 0.174999986 | $10.00 |
| 07-22 09:35 | Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.0889999923 | $10.00 |
| 07-22 09:33 | Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title? | BUY | 0.4899999814 | $10.00 |
| 07-22 09:32 | Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.1299999902 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 03:00 | Spain vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime? | BUY | 0.4799999931 | $25.00 |
| 07-15 13:19 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.6849999982 | $25.00 |