PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Bob318713

0x1c63910504b23d4c1cfdfc87a0ce483ccd91ee42

Realised P&L
$-246.16
Volume
$21.6k
Markets traded
31
Open portfolio
$192.09

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded31
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)41.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Unit FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? · Yes0.1700.210$61.74+$11.74
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.4200.445$52.98+$2.98
Unit FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.2480.105$42.31$57.69
Unit FDV above $600M one day after launch? · Yes0.3710.130$35.07$64.93
Ethereum all time high in 2024? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$100.00
Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes0.0980.000$0.00$10.00
Over $1.3B committed to the MegaETH public sale? · No0.2390.000$0.00$274.85
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.6340.000$0.00$60.00
Lighter Airdrop on December 30? · No0.0430.000$0.00$20.00
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00$10.00
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$50.00
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$10.00
Will Micron (MU) close above $920 end of June? · No0.4620.000$0.00$100.00
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024? · Yes0.1250.000$0.00$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-16 11:16Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.6339999921$60.00
07-16 11:16US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?SELL0.06$10.71
07-16 11:16US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?SELL0.005$5.00
07-08 08:58Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?BUY0.2699999963$50.00
06-24 15:18Will Micron (MU) close above $920 end of June?BUY0.4622641498$100.00
06-24 15:15US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?SELL0.13$185.71
06-23 11:30US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?BUY0.2799999969$50.00
06-23 11:30US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?BUY0.1399999995$200.00
06-23 11:29US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?BUY0.05$50.00
06-23 11:29US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.007$10.00
06-22 11:432026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.4199999953$50.00
05-29 15:37Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?BUY0.8869212736$80.00
05-29 15:30Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?BUY0.8569620688$100.00
05-29 15:06Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?SELL0.86$137.23
05-16 08:05Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?BUY0.0379999965$10.00