Bob318713
0x1c63910504b23d4c1cfdfc87a0ce483ccd91ee42
- Realised P&L
- $-246.16
- Volume
- $21.6k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $192.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)41.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$562.68at 0.113Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?
- +$176.44at 0.362Will MrBeast x Ronaldo video get less than 50m views on day 1?
- +$173.70at 0.696Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
- +$81.58at 0.380Will Trump say "Kamala" during NBC interview?
- +$80.71at 0.680Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-16 11:16 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6339999921 | $60.00 |
| 07-16 11:16 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $10.71 |
| 07-16 11:16 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.005 | $5.00 |
| 07-08 08:58 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | BUY | 0.2699999963 | $50.00 |
| 06-24 15:18 | Will Micron (MU) close above $920 end of June? | BUY | 0.4622641498 | $100.00 |
| 06-24 15:15 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $185.71 |
| 06-23 11:30 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999969 | $50.00 |
| 06-23 11:30 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999995 | $200.00 |
| 06-23 11:29 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $50.00 |
| 06-23 11:29 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.007 | $10.00 |
| 06-22 11:43 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.4199999953 | $50.00 |
| 05-29 15:37 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8869212736 | $80.00 |
| 05-29 15:30 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8569620688 | $100.00 |
| 05-29 15:06 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.86 | $137.23 |
| 05-16 08:05 | Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.0379999965 | $10.00 |