leichil
0x1c22d715475436165f741dc131812557d97bbf5a
- Realised P&L
- $180.01
- Volume
- $97.3k
- Markets traded
- 306
- Open portfolio
- $296.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded306
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Cambria launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.957 | 0.970 | $243.49 | +$3.15 |
| Will Vest launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.870 | 0.905 | $53.43 | +$2.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$130.79at 0.960Seeker FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$50.37at 0.986Trove FDV above $20M one day after launch?
- +$39.35at 0.748Over $3M committed to the Fluent public sale?
- +$34.27at 0.902Over $4M committed to the Fluent public sale?
- +$32.07at 0.829OneFootball FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 15:35 | Will TownSquare launch a token by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $58.29 |
| 07-25 16:57 | Over $32.5M committed to the RipCars public sale? | SELL | 0.07 | $7.37 |
| 07-25 16:23 | Over $32.5M committed to the RipCars public sale? | BUY | 0.760198501 | $30.00 |
| 07-25 16:09 | Over $32.5M committed to the RipCars public sale? | BUY | 0.759999997 | $50.00 |
| 07-24 17:31 | Will Cambria launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.952 | $90.34 |
| 07-24 09:06 | Will Cambria launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.96 | $150.00 |
| 07-22 05:27 | Over $25M committed to the RipCars public sale? | BUY | 0.8099999993 | $100.00 |
| 07-22 04:07 | Over $22.5M committed to the RipCars public sale? | BUY | 0.9446959236 | $100.00 |
| 07-21 17:08 | Over $8M committed to the RipCars public sale? | BUY | 0.85 | $59.50 |
| 07-21 17:07 | Over $6M committed to the RipCars public sale? | BUY | 0.98 | $32.34 |
| 07-21 17:07 | Over $7M committed to the RipCars public sale? | BUY | 0.93 | $28.12 |
| 07-21 17:06 | Over $250k committed to the RipCars public sale? | SELL | 0.999 | $119.74 |
| 07-21 17:06 | Over $7M committed to the RipCars public sale? | BUY | 0.9299999986 | $20.00 |
| 07-21 17:05 | Over $7M committed to the RipCars public sale? | BUY | 0.9153543291 | $100.00 |
| 07-21 17:05 | Over $250k committed to the RipCars public sale? | SELL | 0.999 | $119.74 |