0x1c03f6e5cf30e1a361d00cc5a561cc42f5a5aa32
- Realised P&L
- $-7.03
- Volume
- $8.0k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $2.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration16.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration50.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $1.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
| Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET · Up | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Raphinha be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
- +$1.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
- +$1.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
- +$1.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
- +$1.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 17:15 | Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 17:15 | Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 21:53 | Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-23 11:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 07-23 11:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 07-21 11:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 07-21 11:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 07-20 08:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 07-20 08:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 03:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET | SELL | 0.54 | $2.05 |
| 07-19 03:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET | SELL | 0.47 | $0.98 |
| 07-19 03:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET | BUY | 0.4799998272 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 03:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 03:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET | SELL | 0.48 | $0.98 |
| 07-19 03:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET | BUY | 0.4899998285 | $1.00 |