0x1ABa23036C25f8a69eA6ebA9F43cDC5174536262-1776005120209
0x1aba23036c25f8a69ea6eba9f43cdc5174536262
- Realised P&L
- $79.73
- Volume
- $15.2k
- Markets traded
- 94
- Open portfolio
- $321.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded94
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$63.16at 0.760US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
- +$61.27at 0.515Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$42.59at 0.540MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?
- +$28.19at 0.780Gensyn FDV above $200M one day after launch?
- +$23.09at 0.897Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-11 00:19 | Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | BUY | 0.81 | $16.20 |
| 07-08 08:51 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $16.00 |
| 07-06 09:08 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $17.20 |
| 07-04 16:59 | Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | BUY | 0.6 | $6.00 |
| 07-04 16:58 | Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | BUY | 0.1445472 | $7.23 |
| 05-20 14:20 | Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? | BUY | 0.62 | $12.40 |
| 05-16 23:01 | Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.0294195522 | $10.00 |
| 05-16 23:00 | Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.0489999773 | $2.00 |
| 05-16 23:00 | Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.0488212911 | $2.00 |
| 05-16 23:00 | Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.0473662179 | $2.00 |
| 05-16 23:00 | Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.0469999781 | $2.00 |
| 05-16 22:56 | Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.21 | $8.40 |
| 05-15 06:58 | Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.46 | $18.40 |
| 05-14 14:11 | Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.111 | $6.11 |
| 05-14 14:11 | Will Greece win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.132 | $7.26 |