7vsk
0x1aa28d0bbe47bec0199eab42e3a7f4a7cda4048a
- Realised P&L
- $-57.95
- Volume
- $7.6k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $1.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat? · Yes | 0.890 | 0.835 | $1.88 | −$0.12 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.33at 0.977Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?
- +$0.11at 0.994Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$0.11at 0.997Will Aaron Rodgers sign with the Indianapolis Colts?
- +$0.08at 0.995Will the New York Islanders win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
- +$0.06at 0.979Will Nancy Mace's trans bathroom bill pass in 2024?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-26 13:59 | Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.993 | $199.79 |
| 05-26 13:59 | Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.993 | $69.93 |
| 05-26 13:59 | Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.992 | $69.93 |
| 05-25 08:21 | Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.994 | $200.00 |
| 05-25 08:20 | Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.9929999999 | $70.00 |
| 05-25 08:20 | Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.994 | $70.00 |
| 05-08 06:35 | Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.993 | $119.59 |
| 05-07 07:14 | Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.994 | $119.00 |
| 05-07 07:14 | Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.993 | $118.17 |
| 05-07 07:14 | Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.994 | $119.00 |
| 04-06 07:59 | Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | SELL | 0.995 | $245.75 |
| 04-06 07:59 | Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.994 | $239.75 |
| 04-06 07:59 | Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.992 | $79.92 |
| 04-04 08:54 | Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | BUY | 0.998 | $246.00 |
| 04-04 08:54 | Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | SELL | 0.997 | $246.26 |