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0x1AA2249dD1fA15fd2FA13dd1547a49dED00F0484-1781566323472

0x1aa2249dd1fa15fd2fa13dd1547a49ded00f0484

Realised P&L
$-3.7k
Volume
$337.5k
Markets traded
496
Open portfolio
$36.42

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded496
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 04:30Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 5?BUY0.96$4.94
08-04 04:25Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on August 4?SELL0.93$4.73
08-04 02:58Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 5?BUY0.45$3.75
08-03 22:34Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on August 5?BUY0.98$6.93
08-03 22:31Will the highest temperature in Munich be 38°C on August 4?BUY0.98$4.95
08-03 22:31Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on August 4?BUY0.97$4.94
08-03 22:25Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on August 3?SELL0.55$12.94
08-03 21:50Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on August 4?BUY0.978$4.94
08-03 18:33Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?BUY0.14$0.93
08-03 18:00Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?BUY0.018$0.90
08-03 17:17Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 4?SELL0.03$1.08
08-03 16:35Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 4?SELL0.03$0.28
08-03 12:44Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?BUY0.02$1.50
08-03 12:42Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 5?BUY0.3$4.84
08-03 12:40Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on August 3?SELL0.992$6.51