0x1AA2249dD1fA15fd2FA13dd1547a49dED00F0484-1781566323472
0x1aa2249dd1fa15fd2fa13dd1547a49ded00f0484
- Realised P&L
- $-3.7k
- Volume
- $337.5k
- Markets traded
- 496
- Open portfolio
- $36.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded496
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.052Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 18?
- +$755.64at 0.062Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
- +$638.50at 0.098Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 18?
- +$466.50at 0.485Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?
- +$190.41at 0.163Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 04:30 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.96 | $4.94 |
| 08-04 04:25 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.93 | $4.73 |
| 08-04 02:58 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.45 | $3.75 |
| 08-03 22:34 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.98 | $6.93 |
| 08-03 22:31 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 38°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.95 |
| 08-03 22:31 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.97 | $4.94 |
| 08-03 22:25 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on August 3? | SELL | 0.55 | $12.94 |
| 08-03 21:50 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.978 | $4.94 |
| 08-03 18:33 | Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? | BUY | 0.14 | $0.93 |
| 08-03 18:00 | Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.018 | $0.90 |
| 08-03 17:17 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.03 | $1.08 |
| 08-03 16:35 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.28 |
| 08-03 12:44 | Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.50 |
| 08-03 12:42 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.3 | $4.84 |
| 08-03 12:40 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.992 | $6.51 |