theyreminerals
0x1a832a88c2cabc07e7bfec6b9b2a9d910ee87e38
- Realised P&L
- $6.2k
- Volume
- $33.0k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $161.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar18.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.549 | 0.590 | $161.12 | +$11.12 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 30? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$98.81 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.0kat 0.019Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$1.6kat 0.238US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
- +$1.5kat 0.210Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$733.33at 0.120US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$458.99at 0.271U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 22:38 | Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.04010427 | $19.57 |
| 07-29 22:30 | Iran successfully targets shipping on July 30? | BUY | 0.72 | $98.81 |
| 07-29 22:28 | Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.99 | $129.67 |
| 07-29 06:44 | Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0614672815 | $30.00 |
| 07-27 21:48 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5492676417 | $150.00 |
| 07-18 02:57 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 21? | BUY | 0.5299999982 | $15.00 |
| 07-18 02:52 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 19? | BUY | 0.6729341896 | $100.00 |
| 07-18 00:43 | Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7635101598 | $100.00 |
| 07-15 16:04 | Iran successfully targets shipping on July 15? | SELL | 0.1722543412 | $16.86 |
| 07-14 00:14 | Iran successfully targets shipping on July 14? | SELL | 0.88 | $18.15 |
| 07-13 20:38 | Iran successfully targets shipping on July 14? | BUY | 0.4 | $8.25 |
| 07-13 20:34 | Iran successfully targets shipping on July 15? | BUY | 0.63 | $61.68 |
| 07-12 15:53 | Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.6475712928 | $54.50 |
| 07-12 15:52 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12? | SELL | 0.83 | $0.81 |
| 07-12 15:52 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12? | SELL | 0.8305185646 | $80.08 |