Extrance
0x1a5c8a47c6779b04e28215c53c34997339a1dad1
- Realised P&L
- $-242.13
- Volume
- $26.4k
- Markets traded
- 473
- Open portfolio
- $37.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded473
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-08-04? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.185 | $37.00 | −$3.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET · Down | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$107.09at 0.317Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$82.42at 0.233Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4PM ET
- +$53.13at 0.320Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
- +$47.05at 0.510Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
- +$36.62at 0.120Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 4AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 07:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET | BUY | 0.7399999593 | $4.00 |
| 08-04 07:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET | BUY | 0.4599999595 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 07:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $6.68 |
| 08-04 07:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET | BUY | 0.7399999674 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 07:10 | Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-08-04? | BUY | 0.2 | $40.00 |
| 08-02 14:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999796 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 14:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | BUY | 0.5199999896 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 14:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $3.14 |
| 08-02 14:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | BUY | 0.6299999181 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 14:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $4.04 |
| 08-02 14:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | BUY | 0.4899999534 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 13:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 13:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET | BUY | 0.9989995015 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 12:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET | BUY | 0.9699999951 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 08:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET | BUY | 0.5199999896 | $2.00 |