sgsdhy7i
0x1a586f6154d1ac11b95ad618299bb3c0aceafffa
- Realised P&L
- $46.34
- Volume
- $31.0k
- Markets traded
- 2,153
- Open portfolio
- $228.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,153
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration7.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.21at 0.786Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 4?
- +$3.04at 0.905Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
- +$2.88at 0.820Ethereum Up or Down - July 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
- +$2.25at 0.850BNB Up or Down - July 25, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
- +$2.25at 0.850Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 23:05 | Will Diop Harris be the MI-04 Democratic nominee? | BUY | 0.99 | $19.80 |
| 08-03 23:05 | Will Bridget Brink be the Democratic nominee for MI-07? | BUY | 0.965 | $19.30 |
| 08-03 23:05 | Will Nathan Willett be the Republican nominee for MO-06? | BUY | 0.99 | $14.85 |
| 08-03 23:05 | Will Chris Stigall be the Republican nominee for MO-06? | BUY | 0.93 | $19.53 |
| 08-03 23:05 | Will Christina Hines be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10? | BUY | 0.94 | $19.74 |
| 08-03 23:05 | Will Eric Chung be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10? | BUY | 0.95 | $19.95 |
| 08-03 23:05 | Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.985 | $19.70 |
| 08-03 23:05 | Will Philip Sarnecki win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.965 | $19.30 |
| 08-03 23:05 | Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.96 | $19.20 |
| 08-03 23:05 | Will Aisha Farooqi be the Democratic nominee for MI-11? | BUY | 0.97 | $19.40 |
| 08-03 23:05 | Will Jeremy Moss be the Democratic nominee for MI-11? | BUY | 0.969 | $19.38 |
| 08-03 20:57 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 3, 4PM ET | BUY | 0.97 | $9.70 |
| 08-03 20:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 4PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $9.80 |
| 08-03 19:11 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 3, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $14.85 |
| 08-03 16:52 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 3, 12PM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $9.60 |