0x1a0424cb2ab1b1353c0d4e3c3e5dc0626456b3b0
- Realised P&L
- $-29.01
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 224
- Open portfolio
- $8.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded224
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$43.12at 0.083Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in June?
- +$23.36at 0.221Will Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?
- +$12.97at 0.582 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$11.30at 0.405Will "Toy Story 5" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 39m?
- +$10.80at 0.270Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 17:00 | Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%? | BUY | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 08-02 22:22 | Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%? | BUY | 0.27 | $4.05 |
| 07-27 04:19 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.2265 | $4.53 |
| 07-25 04:20 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.266 | $2.66 |
| 07-22 11:07 | Will Verizon (VZ) Q2 total operating revenue be above $34.5B? | BUY | 0.876 | $8.76 |
| 07-08 22:16 | Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 20m? | BUY | 0.43 | $5.59 |
| 07-08 17:36 | Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 20m? | BUY | 0.47 | $17.86 |
| 07-03 18:25 | Will "Toy Story 5" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 39m? | BUY | 0.4 | $3.60 |
| 07-03 14:27 | Will "Toy Story 5" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 39m? | BUY | 0.41 | $4.10 |
| 07-03 14:13 | Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m? | BUY | 0.38 | $4.94 |
| 06-28 09:37 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 28? | BUY | 0.0981428571 | $6.87 |
| 06-28 09:37 | Will Spencer Pratt concede by July 2? | BUY | 0.41 | $14.76 |
| 06-23 17:59 | Will FISA Section 702 be reauthorized by June 30? | BUY | 0.91 | $9.10 |
| 06-20 20:32 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.877 | $7.02 |
| 06-16 23:59 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | BUY | 0.53 | $5.83 |