0x19ead96b345f883f027cb8a676ca729f86ca6893
- Realised P&L
- $-2.3k
- Volume
- $11.2k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $9.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-20.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds · Athletics | 0.440 | 0.455 | $9.15 | +$0.30 |
| Bruins vs. Islanders · Islanders | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$225.97 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 26? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.10 |
| Golden Knights vs. Utah · Golden Knights | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$237.60 |
| Senators vs. Blues · Senators | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$370.00 |
| Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians · Cleveland Guardians | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.80 |
| Flames vs. Panthers · Panthers | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$499.20 |
| Canadiens vs. Hurricanes · Canadiens | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.24 |
| Flyers vs. Lightning · Flyers | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$77.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on February 8? · Down | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.50 |
| Senators vs. Kings · Senators | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$211.20 |
| Spurs vs. Trail Blazers · Trail Blazers | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$265.20 |
| Grizzlies vs. Kings · Kings | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$358.80 |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves · Spurs | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$291.10 |
| Blue Jackets vs. Capitals · Blue Jackets | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$188.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$391.04at 0.480Ducks vs. Blackhawks
- +$256.20at 0.580Grizzlies vs. Pelicans
- +$236.80at 0.360Pistons vs. Celtics
- +$188.70at 0.630Panthers vs. Predators
- +$128.80at 0.440Trail Blazers vs. Bucks
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 03:08 | Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.44 | $8.84 |
| 04-23 06:38 | Lightning vs. Canadiens | BUY | 0.48 | $9.30 |
| 02-07 06:12 | Ethereum Up or Down on February 8? | BUY | 0.5 | $9.50 |
| 01-09 03:24 | Ethereum Up or Down on January 10? | BUY | 0.5 | $9.00 |
| 12-23 04:24 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 26? | BUY | 0.54 | $8.10 |
| 11-29 16:26 | Ducks vs. Blackhawks | BUY | 0.48 | $360.96 |
| 11-29 15:52 | Capitals vs. Islanders | BUY | 0.48 | $148.80 |
| 11-29 15:31 | Grizzlies vs. Kings | BUY | 0.46 | $358.80 |
| 11-29 15:03 | Spurs vs. Timberwolves | BUY | 0.41 | $291.10 |
| 11-27 12:38 | Rangers vs. Bruins | BUY | 0.46 | $308.20 |
| 11-25 16:27 | Bruins vs. Islanders | BUY | 0.59 | $225.97 |
| 11-25 16:01 | Blues vs. Devils | BUY | 0.56 | $112.00 |
| 11-25 12:49 | Pistons vs. Celtics | BUY | 0.36 | $133.20 |
| 11-24 14:04 | Flyers vs. Panthers | BUY | 0.65 | $143.00 |
| 11-23 13:05 | Trail Blazers vs. Bucks | BUY | 0.44 | $101.20 |