0x196Db38d17a95680Af6f626778097b1F0AbF9688-1778663481373
0x196db38d17a95680af6f626778097b1f0abf9688
- Realised P&L
- $-104.57
- Volume
- $35.1k
- Markets traded
- 6,491
- Open portfolio
- $18.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,491
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration18.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$207.03at 0.334Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?
- +$60.45at 0.044Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 1?
- +$25.11at 0.011Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 1?
- +$15.37at 0.245Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?
- +$15.02at 0.490Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 18:09 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 4, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 17:13 | Will Russia enter Orikhiv by September 30? | BUY | 0.96 | $3.00 |
| 08-04 17:13 | Will Russia enter Orikhiv by September 30? | BUY | 0.96 | $3.00 |
| 08-04 17:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 16:34 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 4, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 16:19 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 15:59 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 15:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 15:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 15:39 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET | BUY | 0.91 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 15:39 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 15:39 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET | BUY | 0.9299997117 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 15:39 | Dogecoin Up or Down - August 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 15:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 15:38 | XRP Up or Down - August 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET | SELL | 0.65 | $1.51 |