0x195c2943B9925F4A82B9e45A92F668238B2a5F9a-1760468810690
0x195c2943b9925f4a82b9e45a92f668238b2a5f9a
- Realised P&L
- $124.23
- Volume
- $28.8k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $243.52
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$77.62at 0.205US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
- +$57.01at 0.077Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$12.24at 0.290US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
- +$1.93at 0.560Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?
- +$1.88at 0.390Packers vs. Cardinals
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23 04:29 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.0528290461 | $40.44 |
| 06-22 21:10 | Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |
| 03-10 07:23 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1378869327 | $50.00 |
| 03-10 07:21 | Iran leadership change by March 13? | BUY | 0.1094766823 | $5.00 |
| 03-10 07:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET | BUY | 0.1290049922 | $0.99 |
| 03-10 07:08 | Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.32 | $10.00 |
| 03-07 20:32 | Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.024386311 | $29.80 |
| 03-05 08:02 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.099 | $50.00 |
| 03-05 06:44 | Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0159296867 | $100.00 |
| 03-05 02:12 | Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0140519945 | $100.00 |
| 03-04 03:39 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | SELL | 0.715 | $50.35 |
| 03-04 02:05 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.360361338 | $46.32 |
| 03-04 02:00 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | BUY | 0.709999998 | $50.00 |
| 03-04 01:59 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.3889498308 | $50.00 |
| 02-28 19:47 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SELL | 0.955 | $62.01 |