kuchina4
0x19579af684cf124a2a4db40e9c099238b77b4711
- Realised P&L
- $-13.08
- Volume
- $641.34
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $6.90
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reya FDV above $70M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.477 | 0.570 | $6.90 | +$1.12 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET · Up | 0.387 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.35 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.84at 0.532Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
- +$8.40at 0.720Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
- +$6.50at 0.600Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
- +$2.88at 0.840Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
- +$2.26at 0.570Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-08 02:01 | Reya FDV above $70M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4775912216 | $5.78 |
| 10-30 08:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET | BUY | 0.3420195093 | $6.00 |
| 10-30 08:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET | BUY | 0.2999999862 | $13.00 |
| 10-30 08:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5381500987 | $16.35 |
| 10-30 08:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $16.49 |
| 10-30 08:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET | BUY | 0.6 | $10.00 |
| 10-30 08:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET | SELL | 0.547176497 | $24.40 |
| 10-30 08:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET | BUY | 0.66 | $0.25 |
| 10-30 08:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |
| 10-30 08:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5947659356 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 08:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5759682135 | $20.00 |
| 10-30 07:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET | SELL | 0.0919260584 | $4.62 |
| 10-30 07:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.3099999769 | $9.00 |
| 10-30 07:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $5.00 |
| 10-30 07:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET | SELL | 0.25 | $6.79 |