wizardsmagic
0x18de697a860f8a92b4b4a320bf3354b1e2f11f14
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $379.2k
- Markets traded
- 807
- Open portfolio
- $13.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded807
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$195.87at 0.011Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on February 8?
- +$170.64at 0.100Will Claude 5 be released on February 4, 2026?
- +$160.81at 0.100Will Amazon (AMZN) close at <$210 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 26 – Jan 30?
- +$159.88at 0.003Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$150.00at 0.100Israel strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 13:22 | Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4899999845 | $10.74 |
| 07-18 23:22 | Will England win on 2026-07-18? | SELL | 0.999 | $10.35 |
| 07-18 22:10 | Will England win on 2026-07-18? | BUY | 0.9649748788 | $10.00 |
| 07-17 14:54 | Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | SELL | 0.0269222315 | $6.44 |
| 07-17 14:54 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.037 | $3.70 |
| 07-17 14:54 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%? | SELL | 0.0024325 | $0.97 |
| 07-14 19:23 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.3899999558 | $3.00 |
| 07-14 14:11 | Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $2.97 |
| 07-13 02:21 | Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | SELL | 0.018 | $0.08 |
| 07-12 23:47 | Will the Republican Party win the CA-45 House seat? | SELL | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 07-11 22:45 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4324999808 | $10.00 |
| 07-11 19:18 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.2375 | $9.97 |
| 07-10 21:05 | Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.9975 | $52.27 |
| 07-10 19:08 | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.017 | $25.50 |
| 07-09 00:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |