caffeine87
0x18cb7882094374f2ae1a3103c8633b92a6c8c427
- Realised P&L
- $199.03
- Volume
- $90.9k
- Markets traded
- 8,920
- Open portfolio
- $7.86
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded8,920
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET · Down | 0.460 | 0.665 | $4.66 | +$1.44 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET · Up | 0.460 | 0.440 | $2.20 | −$0.10 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 4, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET · Up | 0.460 | 0.285 | $1.42 | −$0.88 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 5PM ET · Up | 0.460 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$2.29 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.08at 0.455Ethereum Up or Down - July 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
- +$13.08at 0.455Ethereum Up or Down - July 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
- +$13.08at 0.455Ethereum Up or Down - July 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
- +$13.08at 0.455Ethereum Up or Down - July 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
- +$13.08at 0.455Ethereum Up or Down - July 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-18 08:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET | BUY | 0.289999964 | $5.00 |
| 07-18 08:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET | BUY | 0.3699999674 | $5.00 |
| 07-18 08:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET | BUY | 0.3799999742 | $5.00 |
| 07-18 08:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET | BUY | 0.4099999954 | $25.00 |