Tr0dJr
0x18bda1913268bf97c7c9266e626cbf22eb04c2c2
- Realised P&L
- $-71.96
- Volume
- $7.4k
- Markets traded
- 119
- Open portfolio
- $18.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded119
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.56at 0.100Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
- +$10.33at 0.256Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals
- +$8.60at 0.500Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
- +$6.41at 0.230Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 5.5
- +$5.04at 0.270Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-24 20:38 | Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.76 | $3.80 |
| 06-23 19:59 | Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.60 |
| 06-20 03:07 | Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.80 |
| 06-19 23:55 | Will Scotland win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.046 | $0.92 |
| 06-19 23:50 | Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.14 |
| 06-19 18:35 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.41 | $2.05 |
| 06-19 18:35 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.21 | $1.27 |
| 06-19 10:15 | Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.15 |
| 06-19 10:15 | Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.59 | $2.95 |
| 06-19 08:13 | Will Scotland win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.093 | $1.86 |
| 06-19 08:13 | Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.80 |
| 06-19 08:13 | Will Paraguay win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.026 | $1.73 |
| 06-19 08:13 | Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.35 |
| 06-19 03:57 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | BUY | 0.64 | $3.20 |
| 06-19 03:52 | Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | BUY | 0.56 | $2.80 |