PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x182846c328023ad80bc53d1b22f6ec5ed4ff593b

Realised P&L
$-45.02
Volume
$331.00
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$23.08

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-13.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration82.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.8340.880$12.32+$0.64
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1600.120$4.56$1.52
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0300.063$3.15+$1.65
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? · Yes0.4000.600$3.00+$1.00
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027? · No0.6600.000$0.00$47.52

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-09 11:52Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.87$7.83
07-04 15:37Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?BUY0.037$1.18
06-12 06:08Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.77$3.85
03-27 22:29Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day?BUY0.03$1.50
03-27 22:27Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?BUY0.16$6.08
03-21 11:38Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.19$1.14
03-21 11:37Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?BUY0.66$40.26
03-21 11:37SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?BUY0.4$4.00
03-21 11:37Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?BUY0.66$7.26
03-21 11:37Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.19$1.14
02-28 03:02Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?BUY0.27$4.59
02-26 16:36Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?BUY0.891$8.91