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0x1809dAF1EE84D9741b3C4cfB75a54c055ceC44c4-1769455450427

0x1809daf1ee84d9741b3c4cfb75a54c055cec44c4

Realised P&L
$44.32
Volume
$365.12
Markets traded
7
Open portfolio
$14.58

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar12.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded7
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration89.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.4830.478$9.90$0.10
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes0.1600.150$4.69$0.31
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00$2.00
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31? · Yes0.0530.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-27 18:27Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.16$5.00
07-27 18:22Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.4829999925$10.00
04-18 19:11Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?BUY0.01$1.00
04-15 15:41Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?BUY0.08$1.00
04-15 12:19Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?SELL0.84$6.72
04-12 16:51Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?BUY0.0529999513$1.00
04-04 17:32Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?BUY0.13$1.04
04-04 15:44Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?BUY0.0389999635$1.00
03-20 09:37Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY0.0279999733$1.00
03-10 17:25Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY0.045999957$1.00
03-06 19:38Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY0.1009999102$1.00
03-02 19:03Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY0.1689999559$3.00
02-18 09:47Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY0.0389999635$1.00
01-27 14:54Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY0.1699999759$5.00