0x17b1daafa51045e669b476d1203fb5428225a1a7
- Realised P&L
- $-344.43
- Volume
- $2.7k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $19.63
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-12.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration80.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.040 | $19.63 | −$64.84 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$98.24at 0.610Will Napoli win on 2025-10-28?
- +$23.23at 0.730Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-08?
- +$-66.28at 0.400Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-08?
- +$-84.11at 0.710Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-08?
- +$-85.39at 0.680Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-09?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-09 03:54 | Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-09? | BUY | 0.679999999 | $85.40 |
| 11-05 13:44 | Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-08? | BUY | 0.7299999981 | $62.81 |
| 11-05 13:44 | Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-08? | BUY | 0.71 | $84.11 |
| 11-05 12:53 | Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-08? | BUY | 0.4 | $22.92 |
| 11-01 20:44 | Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-01? | SELL | 0.02 | $5.34 |
| 11-01 20:44 | Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-01? | SELL | 0.05 | $13.36 |
| 11-01 15:35 | Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-01? | BUY | 0.21 | $56.11 |
| 10-31 21:48 | Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-01? | BUY | 0.2 | $128.11 |
| 10-28 16:50 | Will Napoli win on 2025-10-28? | BUY | 0.61 | $153.66 |