PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

herrmahgherd

0x1713bfda4304627e54b5c2d0c50c7fb103091986

Realised P&L
$-33.6k
Volume
$902.9k
Markets traded
165
Open portfolio
$6.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded165
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · No0.7100.705$992.96$7.04
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2800.278$991.07$8.93
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5600.550$982.14$17.86
Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds · Athletics0.4500.455$505.56+$5.56
National Bank Open: Martin Damm vs Stefanos Tsitsipas · Stefanos Tsitsipas0.6400.635$496.09$3.91
Canadian Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Hamad Medjedovic · Hamad Medjedovic0.6200.615$495.97$4.03
Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox · Boston Red Sox0.5500.545$495.45$4.54
Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles · Baltimore Orioles0.5900.575$487.29$12.71
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.2380.213$448.53$51.47
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 · Under0.5500.335$139.06$89.24
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET · Down0.4810.000$0.00$5.0k
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves · San Diego Padres0.4400.000$0.00$500.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET · Up0.7310.000$0.00$2.0k
Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-07-22? · Yes0.3210.000$0.00$1000.00
Will KF Víkingur win on 2026-07-21? · No0.6480.000$0.00$1000.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 08:31St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5SELL0.2723076923$134.52
08-04 07:43Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore OriolesBUY0.5899999996$500.00
08-04 07:43National Bank Open: Martin Damm vs Stefanos TsitsipasBUY0.64$500.00
08-04 07:43Athletics vs. Cincinnati RedsBUY0.4499999995$500.00
08-04 07:43Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red SoxBUY0.5499999996$500.00
08-04 07:42Canadian Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Hamad MedjedovicBUY0.6199999998$500.00
08-01 23:25Will Atlas FC win on 2026-08-01?BUY0.6299999996$500.00
08-01 23:25Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado RockiesBUY0.4599999998$500.00
08-01 15:00Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland GuardiansBUY0.3899999995$500.00
08-01 15:00Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles DodgersBUY0.6099999996$500.00
08-01 10:47Will Sport Boys Association win on 2026-08-01?BUY0.7433102081$500.00
08-01 10:47Will CA Estudiantes win on 2026-08-01?BUY0.7505431561$500.00
08-01 10:47St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue JaysBUY0.5799999999$500.00
07-27 16:27Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota LynxBUY0.9099999999$500.00
07-27 16:26PortlandFire vs. Las Vegas AcesBUY0.8399999998$500.00