didnt
0x168bfb6a257c81bfaee13929b2ce00d22ebc99b1
- Realised P&L
- $572.20
- Volume
- $159.6k
- Markets traded
- 178
- Open portfolio
- $88.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded178
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Abstract launch a token by September 30, 2026 · No | 0.960 | 0.980 | $58.76 | +$1.17 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.782 | 1.000 | $30.00 | +$6.54 |
| Chicago State Cougars vs. LIU Sharks · Chicago State Cougars | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.60 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Clippers · Clippers | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$102.54 |
| 76ers vs. Pelicans · 76ers | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
| Lakers vs. Heat · Heat | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Cavaliers vs. Bucks · Cavaliers | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$438.85 |
| Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? · No | 0.924 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.62 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 23, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET · Down | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$490.00 |
| Spread: Hornets (-4.5) · Heat | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| North Alabama Lions vs. Florida Gulf Coast Eagles · North Alabama Lions | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.25 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET · Down | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.51 |
| Youngstown State Penguins vs. Robert Morris Colonials · Youngstown State Penguins | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.74 |
| Texas Longhorns vs. Arkansas Razorbacks · Texas Longhorns | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.30 |
| Lakers vs. Rockets · Rockets | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$61.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$631.80at 0.730Nuggets vs. Thunder
- +$611.77at 0.680Rockets vs. Pelicans
- +$493.00at 0.660Rockets vs. Spurs
- +$458.00at 0.648Pelicans vs. Kings
- +$339.90at 0.670Rockets vs. Nuggets
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 10:09 | Will Abstract launch a token by September 30, 2026 | BUY | 0.96 | $57.59 |
| 07-29 10:06 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.782 | $23.46 |
| 07-16 15:35 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.65 | $585.00 |
| 07-11 18:40 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.7549999998 | $800.00 |
| 07-08 04:58 | France vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5 Total Corners | BUY | 0.85 | $93.50 |
| 07-06 00:22 | Mexico vs. England: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.67 | $13.40 |
| 07-05 01:20 | Spread: Brazil (-1.5) | BUY | 0.71 | $71.00 |
| 07-05 01:19 | Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.7 | $70.00 |
| 07-04 06:05 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.173 | $622.80 |
| 07-04 06:05 | Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.73 | $36.50 |
| 07-03 01:52 | Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.7724999987 | $70.00 |
| 07-03 01:52 | Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.6699999972 | $50.00 |
| 07-03 01:51 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.445 | $427.46 |
| 07-02 08:17 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.745 | $223.50 |
| 07-01 05:47 | Will United States win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.71 | $142.00 |