Giselleas4
0x1689388225cc7e68021e246b3482fb77369f78e4
- Realised P&L
- $-47.47
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 104
- Open portfolio
- $13.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded104
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jocelyn Benson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Democratic primary election? · Yes | 0.998 | 0.998 | $13.96 | −$0.01 |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons · Cavaliers | 0.860 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.60 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26? · Yes | 0.970 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$32.98 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C on March 20? · No | 0.970 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.46 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.95at 0.950Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C or below on March 16?
- +$0.93at 0.940Mavericks vs. Pacers
- +$0.90at 0.940Heat vs. Bucks
- +$0.86at 0.960Cavaliers vs. Magic
- +$0.64at 0.970Will "Something Very Bad Is Going to Happen: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 06:59 | Will Jocelyn Benson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.998 | $13.97 |
| 06-29 08:10 | Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $16.83 |
| 06-29 02:30 | Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $23.98 |
| 06-25 12:41 | Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $24.98 |
| 06-19 20:38 | Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? | BUY | 0.996 | $33.86 |
| 06-09 02:04 | Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8? | BUY | 0.99 | $16.83 |
| 05-28 04:59 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.9982869367 | $35.00 |
| 05-25 05:38 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26? | BUY | 0.97 | $32.98 |
| 04-29 18:45 | Iran leadership change by April 30? | BUY | 0.99 | $31.68 |
| 04-24 11:05 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.99 | $28.69 |
| 04-24 10:30 | Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the April Meeting? | SELL | 0.999 | $17.98 |
| 04-23 01:43 | Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the April Meeting? | BUY | 0.97 | $17.46 |
| 04-20 19:24 | Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 37m and 40m? | SELL | 0.998 | $21.93 |
| 04-19 02:49 | Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 37m and 40m? | BUY | 0.975 | $21.40 |
| 04-10 12:45 | Will White House post 180-199 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | SELL | 0.997 | $19.92 |