PolyBot

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Traders

0x15d6c94660256d48979862fceb245769c9a22179

Realised P&L
$-30.82
Volume
$17.4k
Markets traded
707
Open portfolio
$263.65

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded707
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 · Over0.5000.500$20.00+$0.00
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 · Under0.5100.500$19.61$0.39
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 4? · Up0.5440.975$17.89+$7.89
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on August 4? · Up0.6300.989$15.69+$5.69
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $78 on August 4? · No0.6190.950$15.34+$5.34
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on August 4? · Up0.7230.989$13.68+$3.68
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 4? · Up0.7400.996$13.45+$3.45
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 4? · Up0.7500.993$13.23+$3.23
Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on August 4? · Up0.7400.957$12.93+$2.93
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on August 4? · Yes0.8040.983$12.22+$2.22
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $80 on August 4? · No0.8300.977$11.77+$1.77
LoL: Shark Attack vs DIA Ozarox Esports (BO3) - TCL Play-Ins · Shark Attack0.2560.275$10.75+$0.75
LoL: Baam Esports vs 3BL Esports (BO3) - Arabian League Group Stage · Baam Esports0.8400.875$10.42+$0.42
LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend · JD Gaming0.7000.715$10.21+$0.21
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 · Over0.5000.500$10.00+$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 18:21Meta (META) Up or Down on August 4?BUY0.4599999844$10.00
08-04 18:21Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on August 4?BUY0.2699999806$10.00
08-04 16:35Dogecoin Up or Down - August 4, 12PM ETBUY0.4499999797$10.00
08-04 16:05Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO3) - 1win Essence PlayoffsBUY0.2799999854$10.00
08-04 15:46Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETBUY0.9452736285$10.00
08-04 15:35Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 11AM ETSELL0.06$2.11
08-04 15:20Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 11AM ETBUY0.2699999806$10.00
08-04 15:16S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on August 4?BUY0.8042761441$10.00
08-04 15:15LoL: Baam Esports vs 3BL Esports (BO3) - Arabian League Group StageBUY0.8399999966$10.00
08-04 15:15Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.8899999947$10.00
08-04 13:50Dogecoin Up or Down - August 4, 9AM ETSELL0.1$2.06
08-04 13:40Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 4?BUY0.5445867958$10.00
08-04 13:35Dogecoin Up or Down - August 4, 9AM ETBUY0.4499999797$10.00
08-04 13:10Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - 1win Essence PlayoffsBUY0.3299999812$10.00
08-04 12:41Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 8AM ETBUY0.7799999984$10.00