x5ty67y7y8u8up
0x15b17bb0a4af7d8e55b968e0e5de9a986a37a8e8
- Realised P&L
- $-2.6k
- Volume
- $138.2k
- Markets traded
- 1,129
- Open portfolio
- $215.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,129
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration6.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$519.01at 0.145Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?
- +$407.00at 0.464Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 10?
- +$362.73at 0.150Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 12?
- +$361.62at 0.753Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on April 13?
- +$318.85at 0.530Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-26 16:00 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on July 27? | BUY | 0.35 | $9.80 |
| 07-17 04:49 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 17? | BUY | 0.33 | $1.65 |
| 07-17 04:10 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 17? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 07-17 04:09 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 17? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 07-17 04:09 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on July 17? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 07-17 04:09 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 17? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.52 |
| 07-17 04:09 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 17? | BUY | 0.0866692308 | $1.13 |
| 07-17 04:08 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 17? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 07-17 04:08 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on July 17? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 07-17 04:08 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 17? | BUY | 0.1333333333 | $1.60 |
| 07-15 04:21 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 15? | BUY | 0.1750923077 | $2.28 |
| 07-13 10:00 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 14? | BUY | 0.27 | $2.16 |
| 07-13 10:00 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 14? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.52 |
| 07-13 10:00 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 14? | BUY | 0.27 | $3.24 |
| 07-11 10:19 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 12? | BUY | 0.3875833333 | $4.65 |