0x15978e2419a3f271ae11e56696c2e79ea8cef71c
- Realised P&L
- $236.64
- Volume
- $4.3k
- Markets traded
- 58
- Open portfolio
- $283.35
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded58
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.545 | $64.41 | −$6.50 |
| Warsaw: Marcelina Podlinska vs Vendula Valdmannova · Vendula Valdmannova | 0.840 | 0.835 | $57.43 | −$0.34 |
| National Bank Open: Juncheng Shang vs Andrey Rublev · Andrey Rublev | 0.770 | 0.765 | $45.43 | −$0.30 |
| National Bank Open: Elina Svitolina vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro · Elina Svitolina | 0.840 | 0.845 | $35.32 | +$0.21 |
| National Bank Open: Shuai Zhang vs Jelena Ostapenko · Jelena Ostapenko | 0.710 | 0.705 | $30.22 | −$0.21 |
| Istanbul 2: Gijs Brouwer vs Manoj Dhamne Manas · Manoj Dhamne Manas | 0.828 | 0.835 | $25.59 | +$0.20 |
| Canadian Open: Terence Atmane vs Jack Draper · Jack Draper | 0.680 | 0.675 | $24.96 | −$0.18 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$50.13at 0.749Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$35.28at 0.520Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
- +$33.41at 0.740Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?
- +$33.04at 0.600Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
- +$28.33at 0.620Will France win on 2026-07-09?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 05:50 | Istanbul 2: Gijs Brouwer vs Manoj Dhamne Manas | BUY | 0.8283361453 | $25.39 |
| 08-04 05:48 | National Bank Open: Shuai Zhang vs Jelena Ostapenko | BUY | 0.7099999951 | $30.43 |
| 08-04 05:47 | National Bank Open: Elina Svitolina vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | BUY | 0.8399999971 | $35.11 |
| 08-04 05:46 | National Bank Open: Juncheng Shang vs Andrey Rublev | BUY | 0.7699999973 | $45.73 |
| 08-04 05:46 | Canadian Open: Terence Atmane vs Jack Draper | BUY | 0.6799999957 | $25.14 |
| 08-04 05:45 | Warsaw: Marcelina Podlinska vs Vendula Valdmannova | BUY | 0.8399999994 | $57.77 |
| 08-01 06:16 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5999999983 | $70.91 |
| 08-01 06:15 | UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Aleksandar Rakic (Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.7699999986 | $70.94 |
| 07-25 15:30 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7489999987 | $122.44 |
| 07-19 12:55 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.7349999973 | $56.39 |
| 07-17 19:41 | UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.6899999977 | $50.93 |
| 07-14 16:54 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.7074999979 | $68.36 |
| 07-11 17:01 | Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskova | BUY | 0.4399999881 | $19.29 |
| 07-11 09:31 | UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.6999999977 | $60.79 |
| 07-11 06:04 | Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev | BUY | 0.8199999993 | $70.14 |