Wolf882
0x1596a197218ee8a1c641dabb456fc24073a96546
- Realised P&L
- $0.59
- Volume
- $25.9k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $15.95
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration37.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)41.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 5? · No | 0.997 | 0.997 | $15.95 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.22at 0.989Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 23?
- +$0.10at 0.990Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 30?
- +$0.08at 0.994Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 11?
- +$0.07at 0.994Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on February 18?
- +$0.06at 0.996Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on July 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-13 04:14 | Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.002 | $3.64 |
| 06-23 07:21 | Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.004 | $7.64 |
| 05-19 08:14 | Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.006 | $9.66 |
| 05-13 04:26 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.007 | $9.87 |
| 04-24 10:28 | Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.009 | $9.81 |
| 04-23 07:10 | Will Malta win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.01 | $10.20 |
| 04-21 07:05 | Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.009 | $9.72 |
| 04-20 04:18 | Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $9.84 |
| 03-23 03:20 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.984 | $599.26 |