PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Wolf882

0x1596a197218ee8a1c641dabb456fc24073a96546

Realised P&L
$0.59
Volume
$25.9k
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$15.95

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration37.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)41.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 5? · No0.9970.997$15.95+$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-13 04:14Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.002$3.64
06-23 07:21Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.004$7.64
05-19 08:14Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.006$9.66
05-13 04:26Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.007$9.87
04-24 10:28Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.009$9.81
04-23 07:10Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.01$10.20
04-21 07:05Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.009$9.72
04-20 04:18Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.008$9.84
03-23 03:20Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.984$599.26