26kmhou
0x15850c5eb7e91636d744a3972c24604fcd10025a
- Realised P&L
- $-560.82
- Volume
- $28.5k
- Markets traded
- 369
- Open portfolio
- $8.86
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded369
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.177 | $7.43 | −$6.43 |
| Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between -0.8% and 0.0%? · Yes | 0.386 | 0.057 | $1.19 | −$6.92 |
| Will the median home value in the US be between $447,000 and $454,000 on September 30? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.005 | $0.12 | −$7.02 |
| Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be less than 0.0%? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.004 | $0.09 | −$6.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.50at 0.140Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 17?
- +$24.60at 0.180Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on April 12?
- +$23.55at 0.010Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?
- +$23.40at 0.220Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on April 28?
- +$19.00at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-11 07:04 | Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 1.2% and 1.4%? | SELL | 0.17 | $3.57 |
| 07-07 10:12 | Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by July 31? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.29 |
| 07-07 10:12 | Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $14B by July 31? | SELL | 0.023 | $0.48 |
| 07-07 10:11 | Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by July 31? | SELL | 0.011952381 | $0.50 |
| 07-07 09:56 | Will LeBron's next contract average $10M-$15M per year? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.52 |
| 07-07 09:54 | Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between -1.6% and -0.8%? | SELL | 0.0781904762 | $1.64 |
| 07-07 09:53 | Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.111 | $2.33 |
| 07-07 09:53 | Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%? | SELL | 0.11 | $2.31 |
| 07-07 09:51 | Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $2.94 |
| 07-07 09:50 | Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $800B by December 31? | SELL | 0.15 | $3.15 |
| 07-07 09:50 | Will Epic Games' valuation hit (LOW) $9.5B by July 31? | SELL | 0.09 | $3.78 |
| 07-07 09:50 | California High-Earner Permanent Tax Proposition | SELL | 0.23 | $4.83 |
| 07-03 01:21 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 4? | SELL | 0.2351177073 | $2.30 |
| 07-03 01:19 | Will Top Esports make a roster change before September? | SELL | 0.23 | $4.83 |
| 07-03 01:18 | Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%? | SELL | 0.24 | $10.08 |