PolyBot

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Traders

5-min

0x153c046d44ed89f48e86a774346a6a861fade5d0

Realised P&L
$-127.50
Volume
$301.4k
Markets traded
7,096
Open portfolio
$3.56

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded7,096
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration54.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03? · No0.0010.010$2.00+$1.80
Will Eduardo Leite finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0010.002$0.30+$0.10
Will Aldo Rebelo finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0010.002$0.30+$0.10
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$0.10$0.10
Will Matt Sahr win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? · Yes0.0010.001$0.10$0.10
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0010.001$0.10$0.10
Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$0.10$0.10
Will Dana Nessel win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? · Yes0.0010.001$0.10$0.10
Will Eric Vaughan advance to the general election for WA-03? · Yes0.0010.001$0.10$0.10
Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$0.10$0.10
Will Rashida Tlaib win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? · Yes0.0010.001$0.10$0.10
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$0.10$0.10
Will Andy Levin win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? · Yes0.0010.001$0.06$0.06
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00$0.05
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00$0.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-16 09:29Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ETBUY0.49$2.37
02-15 01:54Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:50PM-8:55PM ETBUY0.01$1.00