0x150d631f4e21921ad76aa67f699222ae5d918055
- Realised P&L
- $-745.64
- Volume
- $15.7k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $3.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.272 | 0.304 | $2.1k | +$221.79 |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · No | 0.920 | 0.870 | $611.52 | −$35.14 |
| Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? · No | 0.937 | 0.981 | $260.26 | +$11.54 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-943.83at 0.284Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-10 21:00 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.2740413811 | $1000.00 |
| 07-09 20:13 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.2707638019 | $888.00 |
| 07-07 21:24 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.0401437339 | $155.67 |
| 07-07 12:29 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.2919593086 | $1000.00 |
| 04-29 11:44 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.9199999999 | $646.67 |
| 04-09 15:23 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.2197791151 | $99.50 |
| 04-09 10:42 | Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.9370198025 | $248.72 |