0x1420bae1495c8be7f5df4dbab2f2fa127cb2e48c
- Realised P&L
- $-3.2k
- Volume
- $12.8k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $9.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-24.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds · Athletics | 0.440 | 0.455 | $9.15 | +$0.30 |
| Bruins vs. Islanders · Islanders | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.18 |
| Hurricanes vs. Sabres · Hurricanes | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$359.10 |
| Bruins vs. Sharks · Bruins | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$243.80 |
| Kraken vs. Islanders · Kraken | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$105.30 |
| Senators vs. Blues · Senators | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$345.00 |
| Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians · Cleveland Guardians | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.31 |
| Maple Leafs vs. Hurricanes · Hurricanes | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$252.00 |
| Canadiens vs. Hurricanes · Canadiens | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.36 |
| Lakers vs. Raptors · Raptors | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$390.00 |
| Flyers vs. Lightning · Flyers | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$98.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on February 8? · Down | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Hawks vs. 76ers · 76ers | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$420.00 |
| Grizzlies vs. Pelicans · Pelicans | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$277.20 |
| Canadiens vs. Golden Knights · Golden Knights | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$262.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$313.60at 0.680Trail Blazers vs. Raptors
- +$281.20at 0.630Raptors vs. Knicks
- +$256.00at 0.360Pistons vs. Celtics
- +$180.40at 0.590Blue Jackets vs. Capitals
- +$101.20at 0.560Blues vs. Devils
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 03:07 | Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.44 | $8.84 |
| 02-07 06:08 | Ethereum Up or Down on February 8? | BUY | 0.5 | $6.00 |
| 01-09 03:17 | Ethereum Up or Down on January 10? | BUY | 0.5 | $9.50 |
| 12-23 04:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 26? | BUY | 0.46 | $9.20 |
| 12-03 12:22 | Jazz vs. Nets | BUY | 0.37 | $321.90 |
| 12-03 11:51 | Lakers vs. Raptors | BUY | 0.39 | $390.00 |
| 12-01 14:21 | Maple Leafs vs. Panthers | BUY | 0.62 | $13.64 |
| 12-01 12:02 | Trail Blazers vs. Raptors | BUY | 0.68 | $367.88 |
| 11-29 15:47 | Capitals vs. Islanders | BUY | 0.48 | $139.20 |
| 11-29 13:07 | Hawks vs. 76ers | BUY | 0.5 | $420.00 |
| 11-27 15:12 | Canucks vs. Sharks | BUY | 0.49 | $26.46 |
| 11-25 16:30 | Bruins vs. Islanders | BUY | 0.59 | $60.18 |
| 11-25 16:07 | Blues vs. Devils | BUY | 0.56 | $128.80 |
| 11-25 13:18 | Grizzlies vs. Pelicans | BUY | 0.42 | $277.20 |
| 11-25 12:57 | Pistons vs. Celtics | BUY | 0.36 | $144.00 |