0x13Fd935308b882b401A82f08B3Fd2201E7275b09-1767530244932
0x13fd935308b882b401a82f08b3fd2201e7275b09
- Realised P&L
- $-827.76
- Volume
- $119.8k
- Markets traded
- 188
- Open portfolio
- $3.37
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded188
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration70.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.225 | $1.67 | −$0.33 |
| Will XRP dip to $1.00 in August? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.495 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in August? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.175 | $0.73 | −$0.27 |
| Will Marco Rubio say "Democrat" during Fox News: My View appearance? · Yes | 0.464 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Marco Rubio say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" during Fox News: My View appearance? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Marco Rubio say "NATO" during Fox News: My View appearance? · Yes | 0.405 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will Spotify say "Award" during earnings call? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.96at 0.147Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
- +$24.70at 0.393Will Trump say "Obama" during the State of the Union address?
- +$23.97at 0.040Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
- +$22.44at 0.130Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
- +$10.22at 0.370Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 21:34 | Will XRP dip to $1.00 in August? | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 21:21 | Will "Reserve" be in the headlines this week? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 08-02 21:17 | Will Spotify say "Customer" during earnings call? | SELL | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 20:05 | Will "Reserve" be in the headlines this week? | BUY | 0.2054705579 | $4.99 |
| 08-01 20:03 | Will Marco Rubio say "NATO" during Fox News: My View appearance? | BUY | 0.3899999774 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 19:34 | Will Marco Rubio say "NATO" during Fox News: My View appearance? | BUY | 0.4199999832 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 19:33 | Will Marco Rubio say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" during Fox News: My View appearance? | BUY | 0.6599999604 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 19:32 | Will Marco Rubio say "Democrat" during Fox News: My View appearance? | BUY | 0.4641472624 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 19:32 | Will Marco Rubio say "NATO" during Fox News: My View appearance? | BUY | 0.4058747788 | $5.00 |
| 07-31 23:22 | Will MrBeast say "Win" or "Winner" during his next gaming YouTube video? | BUY | 0.0149999854 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 23:22 | Will MrBeast say "Win" or "Winner" during his next gaming YouTube video? | BUY | 0.0189999817 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 23:21 | Will MrBeast say "Win" or "Winner" during his next gaming YouTube video? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 23:21 | Will MrBeast say "Win" or "Winner" during his next gaming YouTube video? | BUY | 0.0729999331 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 17:51 | Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during cabinet meeting? | SELL | 0.952 | $2.50 |
| 07-31 12:15 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |