0x13a7e960a7b69b59502b6b9ced17a1e08c046197
- Realised P&L
- $-139.25
- Volume
- $117.8k
- Markets traded
- 92
- Open portfolio
- $2.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded92
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.45at 0.366Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?
- +$2.15at 0.317Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$1.86at 0.350Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?
- +$1.56at 0.560Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?
- +$0.92at 0.520Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 06:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 19:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 19:36 | National Bank Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Avery Alexander | BUY | 0.9579999866 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 19:34 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? | BUY | 0.001 | $3.00 |
| 07-28 05:42 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in July? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-28 05:41 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 07-18 09:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 20? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 07-18 09:25 | Will England win on 2026-07-18? | SELL | 0.24 | $0.96 |
| 07-18 09:24 | Will France win on 2026-07-18? | SELL | 0.51 | $1.02 |
| 07-16 17:18 | Will England win on 2026-07-18? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 07-16 17:18 | Will France win on 2026-07-18? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 07-16 17:16 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 17? | BUY | 0.001 | $6.00 |
| 07-16 17:16 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 07-16 17:12 | Will USD/KRW hit 2000 (High) in 2026? | SELL | 0.029 | $0.94 |
| 07-16 17:11 | Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027? | SELL | 0.0398387837 | $0.69 |