0x138f07EEdE2E969b1D7313893A08bb5363d8CCB0-1750786149579
0x138f07eede2e969b1d7313893a08bb5363d8ccb0
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $25.2k
- Markets traded
- 61
- Open portfolio
- $27.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded61
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)69.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes | 0.167 | 0.011 | $27.70 | −$375.40 |
| Will Romania win on 2025-11-15? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
| Pistons vs. Magic · Pistons | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$29.61 |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers · Raptors | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.65 |
| Pistons vs. Magic · Pistons | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$69.12 |
| Will FC Porto vs. Crvena Zvezda end in a draw? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$28.17 |
| Will Chelsea vs. Arsenal end in a draw? · No | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-30? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-01-28? · No | 0.790 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$341.63 |
| Mariners vs. Blue Jays · Blue Jays | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.93 |
| Will Espanyol win on 2025-09-26? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.42 |
| Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-25? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.00 |
| Wimbledon Final – Alcaraz vs. Sinner · Alcaraz | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.93 |
| Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$456.89at 0.534Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
- +$241.60at 0.488Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Dimitrov
- +$132.31at 0.362Blue Jays vs. Dodgers
- +$94.23at 0.460Blue Jays vs. Mariners
- +$92.35at 0.680Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-30 18:46 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.5399999906 | $22.93 |
| 05-12 20:48 | Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.1427741651 | $190.79 |
| 05-06 12:44 | Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.1979034086 | $212.31 |
| 04-27 07:03 | Pistons vs. Magic | BUY | 0.5799999973 | $68.24 |
| 04-25 21:50 | Thunder vs. Suns | SELL | 0.005 | $0.11 |
| 04-25 17:39 | Thunder vs. Suns | BUY | 0.2299999692 | $4.77 |
| 04-25 10:13 | Pistons vs. Magic | BUY | 0.5699999939 | $29.23 |
| 04-23 16:23 | Cavaliers vs. Raptors | BUY | 0.4199999944 | $28.96 |
| 04-20 20:11 | Raptors vs. Cavaliers | BUY | 0.2199999891 | $14.30 |
| 04-14 20:46 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw? | SELL | 0.23 | $18.39 |
| 04-14 20:37 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw? | BUY | 0.17 | $13.25 |
| 01-28 19:28 | Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-01-28? | BUY | 0.7899999998 | $341.63 |
| 01-27 09:27 | Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaur | BUY | 0.8499999999 | $290.39 |
| 01-25 12:25 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-25? | BUY | 0.8799999999 | $255.54 |
| 01-24 19:21 | Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-24? | SELL | 0.95 | $180.38 |