0x125478cd40f6edf8853f10824168c2d9b6d1c808
- Realised P&L
- $-239.58
- Volume
- $40.2k
- Markets traded
- 169
- Open portfolio
- $254.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded169
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.795 | $159.00 | +$9.00 |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.475 | $95.00 | +$9.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$129.20at 0.050Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?
- +$84.90at 0.150Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?
- +$80.00at 0.600Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$79.20at 0.345Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?
- +$68.00at 0.320Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 19:59 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.43 | $86.00 |
| 08-02 20:12 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.75 | $150.00 |
| 07-30 20:56 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.6 | $120.00 |
| 07-30 20:41 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July? | SELL | 0.9551045686 | $95.54 |
| 07-26 19:10 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July? | BUY | 0.6198000611 | $62.00 |
| 07-19 21:48 | Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | BUY | 0.8999999978 | $120.86 |
| 07-18 21:29 | Will England win on 2026-07-18? | BUY | 0.659999992 | $80.55 |
| 07-14 19:01 | Will France vs. Spain end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3274999959 | $33.00 |
| 07-12 01:29 | Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | SELL | 0.1675 | $19.31 |
| 07-12 00:22 | Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2774999945 | $32.00 |
| 07-11 23:12 | Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | BUY | 0.78 | $78.00 |
| 07-11 23:11 | Will Norway vs. England end in a draw? | SELL | 0.9975 | $111.28 |
| 07-11 22:09 | Will Norway vs. England end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3449999953 | $38.49 |
| 07-11 21:40 | Will Norway vs. England end in a draw? | SELL | 0.2925 | $41.61 |
| 07-11 20:42 | Will Norway vs. England end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2474999952 | $35.21 |