PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x125478cd40f6edf8853f10824168c2d9b6d1c808

Realised P&L
$-239.58
Volume
$40.2k
Markets traded
169
Open portfolio
$254.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded169
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Yes0.7500.795$159.00+$9.00
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Yes0.4300.475$95.00+$9.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 19:59Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.43$86.00
08-02 20:12Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.75$150.00
07-30 20:56Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.6$120.00
07-30 20:41Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?SELL0.9551045686$95.54
07-26 19:10Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?BUY0.6198000611$62.00
07-19 21:48Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?BUY0.8999999978$120.86
07-18 21:29Will England win on 2026-07-18?BUY0.659999992$80.55
07-14 19:01Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?BUY0.3274999959$33.00
07-12 01:29Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?SELL0.1675$19.31
07-12 00:22Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?BUY0.2774999945$32.00
07-11 23:12Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?BUY0.78$78.00
07-11 23:11Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?SELL0.9975$111.28
07-11 22:09Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?BUY0.3449999953$38.49
07-11 21:40Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?SELL0.2925$41.61
07-11 20:42Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?BUY0.2474999952$35.21