ewaja
0x12448089119dcce27fbab262437ed53e4b0015da
- Realised P&L
- $-1.7k
- Volume
- $484.2k
- Markets traded
- 84
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded84
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.4kat 0.127Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$1.9kat 0.076Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$408.31at 0.022Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$334.93at 0.544Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
- +$319.36at 0.062Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 13:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 10:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $2.99 |
| 08-03 10:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET | BUY | 0.0751097541 | $25.00 |
| 08-03 10:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET | BUY | 0.309999998 | $100.00 |
| 08-03 09:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET | BUY | 0.437462714 | $100.00 |
| 08-03 02:18 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.3467912787 | $500.00 |
| 08-03 01:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET | BUY | 0.5219786853 | $100.00 |
| 08-03 00:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET | BUY | 0.5271725101 | $200.00 |
| 08-02 22:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5442687285 | $400.00 |
| 08-02 22:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET | BUY | 0.0223305647 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 22:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET | BUY | 0.5399999981 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 22:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET | SELL | 0.002 | $0.80 |
| 08-02 22:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET | BUY | 0.11 | $44.00 |
| 08-02 21:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET | SELL | 0.01 | $7.00 |
| 08-02 21:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET | BUY | 0.0754254318 | $27.25 |