0x122c13a025af3de257f7818f74ca68f13cc65170
- Realised P&L
- $-118.15
- Volume
- $13.0k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $9.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds · Athletics | 0.440 | 0.455 | $9.15 | +$0.30 |
| 76ers vs. Nets · Nets | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$108.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 26? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.72 |
| Hurricanes vs. Sabres · Hurricanes | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$345.60 |
| Clippers vs. Lakers · Clippers | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$197.60 |
| Canadiens vs. Hurricanes · Canadiens | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.44 |
| Rangers vs. Utah · Rangers | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$235.20 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on February 8? · Down | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Pistons vs. Celtics · Pistons | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$198.40 |
| Lightning vs. Canadiens · Lightning | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.82 |
| Spurs vs. Suns · Spurs | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$105.80 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Bucks · Bucks | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$143.00 |
| Blue Jackets vs. Red Wings · Blue Jackets | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$256.50 |
| Rangers vs. Bruins · Bruins | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$354.20 |
| San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs · San Diego Padres | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$313.50at 0.450Wild vs. Jets
- +$305.00at 0.500Senators vs. Blues
- +$286.20at 0.470Bruins vs. Sharks
- +$285.00at 0.500Magic vs. 76ers
- +$219.30at 0.570Sabres vs. Penguins
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 03:07 | Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.44 | $8.84 |
| 06-29 03:43 | San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.42 | $8.40 |
| 04-23 06:31 | Lightning vs. Canadiens | BUY | 0.52 | $6.72 |
| 02-07 06:18 | Ethereum Up or Down on February 8? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 01-09 03:25 | Ethereum Up or Down on January 10? | BUY | 0.5 | $6.00 |
| 11-27 13:04 | Senators vs. Blues | BUY | 0.5 | $305.00 |
| 11-27 12:40 | Rangers vs. Bruins | BUY | 0.46 | $354.20 |
| 11-26 12:58 | 76ers vs. Nets | BUY | 0.2 | $108.00 |
| 11-25 12:43 | Pistons vs. Celtics | BUY | 0.64 | $181.76 |
| 11-24 14:10 | Flyers vs. Panthers | BUY | 0.64 | $134.40 |
| 11-23 13:09 | Trail Blazers vs. Bucks | BUY | 0.55 | $132.00 |
| 11-23 08:32 | Flyers vs. Lightning | BUY | 0.65 | $169.00 |
| 11-22 13:09 | Bruins vs. Sharks | BUY | 0.47 | $249.10 |
| 11-22 12:42 | Wild vs. Jets | BUY | 0.45 | $139.50 |
| 11-21 15:46 | Lightning vs. Capitals | BUY | 0.51 | $102.00 |