PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

lall

0x1212bb8cc91ba3a91f169456f5beb779e7e892d2

Realised P&L
$18.90
Volume
$24.8k
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$214.80

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)59.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration65.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.7910.875$141.51+$13.51
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0%? · No0.5000.958$47.90+$22.90
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0070.003$12.50$22.46
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · No0.4200.220$7.38$6.71
Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0020.002$4.50$1.50
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.9930.998$1.00+$0.00
Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026? · No0.7500.000$0.00$37.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-06 15:30Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.993$1.00
03-01 09:06Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?SELL0.001$0.27
02-20 22:51Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?BUY0.759999997$50.00
02-18 18:19Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.6199999975$50.00
02-01 22:23U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?SELL0.71$35.50
01-23 13:25Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?BUY0.4399999975$50.00
01-23 13:17Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?SELL0.55$27.49
01-22 11:38Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0%?BUY0.33$1.65
01-20 22:04Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.002$6.00
01-20 22:03Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.002$5.85
01-20 21:31Will US annex any territory in 2026?BUY0.22$13.20
01-20 21:31Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.81$81.00
01-16 20:47Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?SELL0.5$0.19
01-16 20:47Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?SELL0.05$0.02
01-16 20:46Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?BUY0.81$20.25