PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Barney-Gambler

0x1210490abd1dc449be05662c0461c73ff6e753c3

Realised P&L
$-605.85
Volume
$46.4k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$217.88

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration34.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration60.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0380.017$131.63$173.19
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0640.019$86.25$195.88
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026? · No0.8200.000$0.00$352.60
Will François Piquemal be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00$109.99
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET · Down0.2400.000$0.00$48.00
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$30.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-09 07:13Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.02$30.00
03-16 09:35Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?SELL0.995$149.25
03-15 20:58Will Pierre-Yves Bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?BUY0.7067488774$100.00
02-17 21:04Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY0.82$246.00
02-07 00:01Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:45PM-7:00PM ETSELL0.99$19.61
02-06 23:54Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:45PM-7:00PM ETBUY0.74$14.53
02-06 11:16Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETSELL0.99$97.59
02-06 11:14Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETBUY0.61$59.27
02-06 11:04Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETSELL0.45$44.62
02-06 11:01Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETBUY0.24$23.60
01-31 18:14Will Trump try to Fire Powell by January 31?SELL0.001$1.62
01-31 09:18Will Trump try to Fire Powell by January 31?BUY0.008$0.36
01-30 12:59Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.136$4.08
01-30 12:53Will Jacob Elordi win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.064$3.20
01-23 20:01Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0669558903$30.89