Barney-Gambler
0x1210490abd1dc449be05662c0461c73ff6e753c3
- Realised P&L
- $-605.85
- Volume
- $46.4k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $217.88
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration34.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.038 | 0.017 | $131.63 | −$173.19 |
| Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.064 | 0.019 | $86.25 | −$195.88 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026? · No | 0.820 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$352.60 |
| Will François Piquemal be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$109.99 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET · Down | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$48.00 |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$76.00at 0.610Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
- +$37.46at 0.610Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
- +$29.70at 0.031Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$29.52at 0.136Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$20.82at 0.240Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-09 07:13 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.02 | $30.00 |
| 03-16 09:35 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.995 | $149.25 |
| 03-15 20:58 | Will Pierre-Yves Bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election? | BUY | 0.7067488774 | $100.00 |
| 02-17 21:04 | Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.82 | $246.00 |
| 02-07 00:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $19.61 |
| 02-06 23:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET | BUY | 0.74 | $14.53 |
| 02-06 11:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $97.59 |
| 02-06 11:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET | BUY | 0.61 | $59.27 |
| 02-06 11:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET | SELL | 0.45 | $44.62 |
| 02-06 11:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET | BUY | 0.24 | $23.60 |
| 01-31 18:14 | Will Trump try to Fire Powell by January 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.62 |
| 01-31 09:18 | Will Trump try to Fire Powell by January 31? | BUY | 0.008 | $0.36 |
| 01-30 12:59 | Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.136 | $4.08 |
| 01-30 12:53 | Will Jacob Elordi win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.064 | $3.20 |
| 01-23 20:01 | Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0669558903 | $30.89 |