dhbw1
0x1206cec7aa15c192381f32f70292a1ef1e231362
- Realised P&L
- $5.9k
- Volume
- $124.7k
- Markets traded
- 300
- Open portfolio
- $6.1k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded300
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.101Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$983.89at 0.127Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$522.16at 0.207Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
- +$359.91at 0.299SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?
- +$300.57at 0.913Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-16 15:33 | Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms? | SELL | 0.89 | $350.08 |
| 07-16 15:26 | Will Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23? | SELL | 0.996 | $3.32 |
| 07-16 15:22 | Will Carlos Mendoza win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year? | SELL | 0.991137931 | $48.86 |
| 07-16 15:20 | Will Carlos Mendoza win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year? | SELL | 0.999 | $516.18 |
| 07-16 15:17 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | SELL | 0.67 | $604.43 |
| 07-16 15:11 | Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? | SELL | 0.76 | $18.96 |
| 07-02 11:41 | Will Oliver Adams Larkin be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23? | BUY | 0.9469999983 | $27.55 |
| 07-02 11:30 | Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01? | BUY | 0.56 | $2.80 |
| 07-02 11:01 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.2074390586 | $4.40 |
| 07-02 09:45 | Will Phoebe Bridgers attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | SELL | 0.23 | $0.28 |
| 07-02 09:45 | Will Phoebe Bridgers attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BUY | 0.244140625 | $12.50 |
| 07-02 09:41 | Will Jay-Z perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | BUY | 0.0173913043 | $1.80 |
| 07-02 09:04 | Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | BUY | 0.1455881642 | $1.65 |
| 07-02 09:00 | Will J Balvin perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | BUY | 0.034 | $3.40 |
| 07-02 05:46 | Will Taylor Swift be the second most streamed artist for 2026? | BUY | 0.8637168716 | $36.49 |